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Prediction markets
9 active markets
· category “Fed”
How it works
How to trade
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
76%
September Meeting
71%
3 more
$1.40M
Vol.
Oct 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$33
64 trading now
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Pause–Pause–Pause
99%
Other
22%
7 more
$805K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
52 trading now
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
70%
Pause–Pause–Pause
61%
7 more
$356K
Vol.
Sep 16
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
61 trading now
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
79%
Pause–Pause–Pause
49%
7 more
$454K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$32
46 trading now
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Productivity
99%
Good day
99%
32 more
$25K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
44 trading now
Fed Decision in October?
No change
83%
25 bps increase
36%
3 more
$300K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
48 trading now
How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
0
49%
Yes
No
1
30%
Yes
No
$35K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$51
52 trading now
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
1 (25 bps)
59%
0 (0 bps)
38%
4 more
$40K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$42
41 trading now
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$318K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
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